Posts Tagged ‘stimulus’

Recovery Report Card: Unemployment breaks past 10%

Friday, November 6th, 2009

Economics International - Recovery Report Card - October 2009

In August, the White House projected that unemployment would peak at 10 percent sometime in the middle of next year. The BLS’s October labor report shows that unemployment passed the 10 percent level in October.

U.S. unemployment in October was 10.2 percent. Total nonfarm payroll employment declined by 190,000 in October. In the most recent 3 months, job losses have averaged 188,000 per month.

The U.S. will continue to see a jobless recovery.  Unemployment is likely to increase in the near future. Companies are increasing productivity, demonstrating that they can make earnings with fewer employees.  Much of the “stimulus” spending has gone to transfer payments that actually encourage unemployment.  The “Cash for Clunkers” program registered a one-month increase in auto sales.  Since then, auto sales have remained at the low pre-Clunker levels.

VP Biden on Administration economists: “Everyone guessed wrong”

Sunday, June 14th, 2009

recovery_report_card1

Vice President Joe Biden says “everyone guessed wrong” on the impact of the $800 billion economic stimulus.  What he meant was that everyone in the Administration guessed wrong.  That point is made clear by the latest Recovery Report Card.  May unemployment was 1.6 percentage points higher than predicted by the Administration.  If unemployment does not improve, we may see it surpass Christina Romer’s revised projection of 9.5 percent by the end of the year.

There is an old saying that gambling is one of the few things in which you get nothing for something.  It looks like stimulus spending is another one.

Recovery Report Card: 1.7 million fewer jobs than Administration projections

Friday, May 8th, 2009

ECONOMICS INTERNATIONAL - Recovery Report Card

April’s unemployment figures show that the number of people unemployed was 13.7 million, or 8.9 percent of the labor force.

Administration economists Romer & Bernstein predicted that the stimulus/recovery program would hold unemployment to only 7.8 percent of the labor force, or approximately 12 million.

With unemployment 1.7 million higher than projected, by the Administration’s own benchmarks, it seems that its stimulus/recovery plan is performing much worse than expected. In fact, it is performing worse than if there were no recovery plan.

USA Today on stimulus and stimulus skepticism

Wednesday, April 1st, 2009

usat_logo2USA Today ran a front page story on the the impacts of early stimulus projects. While the story focused on the businesses and families that hope to benefit from the stimulus spending, there was one dissenting skeptic:

Eric Fruits of Economics International in Portland, Ore., warns that stimulus spending may not revive the economy in the long run. “Borrowed money has to be repaid. A job today may come at the cost of someone not having a job in two or three years,” the economist says.