Posts Tagged ‘recovery report card’

Recovery Report Card: Unemployment breaks past 10%

Friday, November 6th, 2009

Economics International - Recovery Report Card - October 2009

In August, the White House projected that unemployment would peak at 10 percent sometime in the middle of next year. The BLS’s October labor report shows that unemployment passed the 10 percent level in October.

U.S. unemployment in October was 10.2 percent. Total nonfarm payroll employment declined by 190,000 in October. In the most recent 3 months, job losses have averaged 188,000 per month.

The U.S. will continue to see a jobless recovery.  Unemployment is likely to increase in the near future. Companies are increasing productivity, demonstrating that they can make earnings with fewer employees.  Much of the “stimulus” spending has gone to transfer payments that actually encourage unemployment.  The “Cash for Clunkers” program registered a one-month increase in auto sales.  Since then, auto sales have remained at the low pre-Clunker levels.

White House economists see increasing unemployment for the next 12 months

Tuesday, August 25th, 2009

Economics International - Recovery Report Card

The White House budget office has released its latest economic and fiscal projections. It predicts the largest deficits since World War II and increasing unemployment.

The White House unemployment prediction highlights the impotence of the stimulus package passed earlier this year. As the figure above shows, at the time, the administration predicted that the stimulus would have halted job losses by the middle of this summer.

Instead, the latest White House projections predict increasing unemployment until the middle of next year, where it will peak at 10%. This means that another 988,000 workers will lose their jobs over the upcoming year.

VP Biden on Administration economists: “Everyone guessed wrong”

Sunday, June 14th, 2009

recovery_report_card1

Vice President Joe Biden says “everyone guessed wrong” on the impact of the $800 billion economic stimulus.  What he meant was that everyone in the Administration guessed wrong.  That point is made clear by the latest Recovery Report Card.  May unemployment was 1.6 percentage points higher than predicted by the Administration.  If unemployment does not improve, we may see it surpass Christina Romer’s revised projection of 9.5 percent by the end of the year.

There is an old saying that gambling is one of the few things in which you get nothing for something.  It looks like stimulus spending is another one.